Support
for key perceptions of the European Union is showing a strong increase among
the majority of EU citizens despite –
or perhaps partly because of –
Britain’s shambolic efforts to leave.
The
overall approval rating among respondents in a survey conducted in all 28
member states before the European parliamentary elections in May this year
showed a peak last recorded between the fall of the Berlin Wall in 1989 and
approval of the Maastricht Treaty in 1992.
Since
autumn 2018, the proportion of respondents with a positive image of the EU has
increased in 23 member states, including Portugal, where it has climbed seven
percentage points and now stands at 60%.
The
findings of an EU Barometer post-election survey published last week show “the
best results in five years”. Many people now trust the EU more than their own
national government or parliament. This trust level is topped by 72% of
respondents in Lithuania and 68% in Denmark. Portugal, with 57%, is sixth
on the trust table.
A
strong sense of optimism prevails across Europe, most notably in Ireland, where
85% of those questioned felt upbeat about the future of the eurozone.
Within
the eurozone, confidence in the euro has weighed in at a new record high of
76%; and in the EU as a whole remains at 62%.
A
large majority of respondents (81%) agree with the free movement that allows EU
citizens to live, work, study or do business in any country they choose within
the Union.
Significant
variations emerge when respondents were questioned about the situation of their
own national economy. Almost half of the respondents are happy with the
situation: e.g. Luxembourg (94%), Denmark (91%), Netherlands (90%),
Germany (83%) and Sweden (80%). The results for Ireland and the United Kingdom
were 75% and 41%, respectively.
Respondents
from several other countries, however, regard their national economy as “bad”;
especially in Greece, where an approval rating of only 7% was registered. The
equivalent in France is 29% and in Croatia, Bulgaria and Italy the percentage
is in the lower twenties.
Also
in the recent survey, many other interesting statistics emerged from
face-to-face interviews with around 27,500 citizens in the 28 member
states.
The
number one concern remains immigration (34%), although this has dropped six
percentage points since last year's survey. Meanwhile there has been a six
percentage point increase, to 22%, in what has become the number two concern:
climate change.
It’s
beyond the scope of EU Barometer surveys to speculate on any correlation
between migration and climate change, but it’s likely that the widespread
movement of people in the years ahead will be closely related to global
warming. Well-documented rising sea levels, devastating flooding, more common
extreme weather conditions and ultimate desertification may alter or destroy
traditional food production and fundamental lifestyles to the point where there
will be no feasible alternative to large-scale migration, not only from Africa
into Europe but also from southern Europe northwards.
The
European Union has been in the forefront of deliberations on these dangers,
with the Paris Agreement and more recent deliberations in Bonn and
Geneva.
All
in all, in the wake of two devastating world wars and a global financial
crisis, there is a sense of togetherness in Europe that may long outlive the
self-indulgent determination of those in Britain who want out – deal or no deal
– on 31 October.