The
Brexit talks now underway in Brussels may end in no deal, says
Britain’s chief negotiator, David Davis.
The
Chancellor of the Exchequer, Philip Hammond, says no deal would be “a
very,very bad outcome for Britain.”
Prime
Minister Theresa May, keeps telling us that no deal would be better
than a bad deal.
Okay,
so that’s all clear, isn’t it?.
Mrs
May was equally clear last week in telling more than three million
EU citizens, including almost a quarter of a million Portuguese, that
her offer of rights to remain in the UK after Brexit was “fair
and generous”.
The
offer was on the table (if you’ll excuse the pun) at a dinner in
Brussels featuring vegetable tart, monkfish and macerated cherries.
According
to The Guardian, one of the few British newspapers you can
trust these days, Mrs May left the room as EU leaders digested her
proposals over coffee and mints.
“Fair and generous” were
not the words used afterwards by European leaders. We can only
speculate on any off-the-record remarks in foreign languages, but
“below expectations”, was EU Council President Donald Tusk’s
reported polite riposte.
Representatives
of affected EU citizens were much more outspoken. They branded the
British prime minister’s offer not only as “vague” but also
“pathetic”. Far from being fair and generous, the offer portrayed
them as “second-class citizens” and actually worsened doubts and
anxieties, they said.
One
of many things causing sleepless nights is the fear that Brexit will
deny automatic citizenship to about half a million children born or raised in the UK .
Fully
a fortnight earlier, the EU had offered a lifetime guarantee on
current British expatriate rights, something the British negotiating
team in Brussels failed to even acknowledge while warning that their
“fair and generous” offer would depend entirely on a reciprocated
response by the EU.
The British government
finally unveiled details of their offer on Monday this week, which
was a year late, and while continung to use people as “bargaining
chips”, complained opposition leader Jeremy Corbyn.
A
15-page document revealed that the three million EU nationals in the
UK will have to apply for a special “settled status” identity
card if they want to stay.
Among
the most noticeable omissions in the document was clarity on when the
cut-off date begins (some time between March 2017 and March 2019) and
the future rights of dependants of current EU residents in the UK.
The
biggest stumbling block of all may be which courts – British or EU
– will have jurisdiction in dealing with citizenship disputes.
The detailed British
proposals received a cool reception in Brussels. The EU’s chief
negotiator, Michel Barnier, tweeted rather disdainfully: “More
ambition, clarity and guarantees needed than in today’s UK
position.”
And
yet this whole citizenship issue was supposed to be straightforward
and easy, the preliminary bit before the two-year Brexit negotiations
get down to the seriously complex stuff about trade.
The
Brexit battle seems to have become bogged down before it has really
begun.
Meanwhile,
the tens of thousands of British expats in Portugal and a million
elsewhere in the EU can only look on in befuddlement, and hope that
the EU turns out to be fair and generous to them.