Amid
the mass of coverage in the media here and abroad, about the only
thing clear at the moment is that the interests of the majority of
voters in this month’s general election are not being best served
with the prospect of either a minority centre-right government or a
left-wing alliance of unlikely bedfellows.
Things
may become clearer – or even more confused – when the incumbent
minority seeks a vote of confidence in parliament in the next few
days.
Unfortunately,
the inconclusive election results did not spur the leaders of the two
main parties to try and reach a reasonable compromise arrangement
aimed at giving the majority of voters what they are fervently hoping
for: stability and less austerity.
Having
endured years of severe austerity, voters object to the on-going
heavy burden, but they don’t want to throw away what their
resilience has achieved since the bailout of 2011.
Not
an easy task for the leaders of the centre-right PaF coalition, with
their 38.6% of the vote, or the centre-left Socialists, with their
32.3%, but surely they should be doing their very best to find enough
common ground to ensure stability by easing austerity while upholding
fiscal obligations and remaining on the cautiously optimistic road to
recovery.
Democracy
thrives on clashes of ideas, raging disputes and robust
disagreements, mindful of what is best for national and international
communities, but sometimes equanimity and determined cooperation is
the best approach, especially in times of crisis.
After
the October 4 election, Pedro Passos Coelho and António Costa,
the leaders of Portugal’s two main parties, only managed two
face-to-face meetings before giving up on the fundamental wishes of
their combined total of 70.9% of voters.
The
electorate be damned, the country now has a minority interim
government that will struggle to survive months, never mind years,
and risks being toppled by an unprecedented left-wing alliance that
no one voted for.
The
moderate Socialist Party has long denounced the severity of the
austerity measures imposed by the ruling coalition, but it is in
favour of eurozone membership and abiding by the EU rules.
Only
after the unsuccessful election did the Socialist leader shunt
towards Portugal’s far left, homeland of Syriza sympathisers and
hard-line opponents of Portugal’s membership of the eurozone, the
EU and NATO.
Portugal
is not Greece. The attraction for Costa was the number of seats
secured by the Left Bloc and the Communist Party, which respectively
received 10.2% and 8.3% of the electoral vote.
If
they and a smaller ‘nature’ party all back the Socialists, the
broad left would have a combined total of 122 seats, 15 more than the
centre-right coalition in the 230-seat national assembly.
It
remains to be seen if such an alliance can set aside traditional
ideological differences and appease any rebels within the ranks in
order to make it a pragmatic political grouping, if not a formally
united power.
It
also remains to be seen if a majority of the electorate want such an
entity and any shared political programme it can come up with.
Despite
all the flapping over the past couple of weeks, Portugal is no
stranger to minority or coalition governments. Since the return of
democracy in 1974, both of the current main parties have run minority
administrations. More to the point, the two main parties governed as
a left and right centrist coalition in the 1980s.
Never
before, however, have leftist parties ruled in coalition. They may
soon unite to cripple the minority centre-right, although that does
not mean the far left will agree to join a Socialist-led government.
Meanwhile,
a record number of registered voters (40.8%) did not participate in
the October 4 election, largely because they are fed up with politics
and distrustful of politicians of all parties. Sadly, you can see
why.
And
so the show goes on. If the convoluted events of the past couple of
weeks were not so serious and potentially damaging, you’d think it
had something to do with Halloween.
Pedro Passos Coelho and António Costa
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